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Ukraine Situation Report, 25 October 2026: The Naga Report 021
The Naga Report 021 // 2026-10-25 // day 1705 of the war // threat level HIGH. Coverage: 24h to 08:00 Kyiv, 25 Oct 2026, data cut 08:00 Kyiv.
Threat level HIGH. 153 drones overnight with hits at 15 locations [1], deaths in Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Sumy and Donetsk oblasts with 8 killed in a tally of regional reports published at 10:20 Kyiv [2], and energy sites hit in Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr oblasts [3] [4]. No missiles in the Air Force count.
Bottom line
1. Russia launched 153 attack drones from 18:00 on Saturday 24 October, 92 of them jet-powered; air defense downed or suppressed 119, nine were still airborne at 08:00 on Sunday 25 October, and drones hit 15 locations [1].
2. The deadliest strike of the day came on Saturday 24 October in Synelnykove, where a drone hit a high-rise and killed three people; a Kyiv Independent tally of regional reports, published at 10:20 Kyiv on 25 October, counts 8 killed and 51 injured nationwide over the day [2] [7].
3. The line barely moved: ISW's 24 October assessment says Russian forces recently advanced southeast of Dobropillia, while its 23 October assessment credits Ukrainian forces with an advance west of Kostiantynivka; no DeepState map update was found after the one carried at 08:07 on 23 October [8] [9] [10].
4. The General Staff counted 193 clashes on 24 October, with Pokrovsk (16), Kostiantynivka (13) and Huliaipole (13) the busiest axes [5].
5. Ukrainian long-range drones reached Omsk, where a fire broke out at a chemical plant, and Berezniki in Perm Krai, where a monitoring channel says the Avisma titanium plant was hit (Late item, reported 13:48 Kyiv); Russia's MoD claims 532 Ukrainian drones downed overnight [11] [12] [6].
The night in numbers
153 attack drones launched overnight [1]
119 downed or suppressed by air defense [1]
15 locations hit by drones [1]
8 civilians killed in the day's tally [2]
193 front-line clashes on 24 Oct (General Staff) [5]
532 Ukrainian drones Russia's MoD claims it downed overnight (claim) [6]
Overnight air attack
The attack began at 18:00 on Saturday 24 October. The Air Force counted 153 attack drones, 92 of them jet-powered, and listed Shahed-type, Gerbera, Parodiya decoys and S8000 Banderol/Dan-T types without a per-type count. Launch areas were Bryansk, Oryol, Kursk and Millerovo in Russia, occupied Donetsk and Hvardiiske in occupied Crimea. As of 08:00 on 25 October, 119 were downed or suppressed, including 64 jet-powered Shaheds, nine were still in the air, and drones hit 15 locations with debris falling at 9 more [1]. The report lists no missiles. The Air Force does not say what happened to the remaining 25 drones.
File photo, November 2025: officials and workers in hard hats at an energy site in Kharkiv region during an Energy Ministry visit after Russian strikes on the grid. Photo: Ministry of Energy of Ukraine (mev.gov.ua), CC BY 4.0.
Attack drones launched: 153 [1]
of which jet-powered: 92 [1]
Downed or suppressed: 119 [1]
of which jet-powered Shaheds: 64 [1]
Still airborne at 08:00: 9 [1]
Locations hit / debris sites: 15 / 9 [1]
Oblast by oblast
Dnipropetrovsk (HIGH). A drone hit a high-rise in Synelnykove on Saturday 24 October, setting the fourth floor alight: 3 killed and at least 12 injured, three of them seriously, by the night report; the day's tally later put the injured at 14 [7] [2]. In Nikopol district two women were killed and five people injured, including a 14-year-old boy [2].
File photo, November 2025: a meeting at the State Emergency Service's Kharkiv regional office during an Energy Ministry visit to coordinate power repairs. Photo: Ministry of Energy of Ukraine (mev.gov.ua), CC BY 4.0.
File photo, November 2025: officials at the same Kharkiv emergency-service meeting on restoring power after Russian attacks. Photo: Ministry of Energy of Ukraine (mev.gov.ua), CC BY 4.0.
Kharkiv (HIGH). A jet-powered drone hit Kharkiv's Novobavarskyi district; Mayor Ihor Terekhov reported 1 killed and 4 injured [13]; the national tally lists one man injured in the city and does not include that death. The tally adds a 45-year-old man killed in Lozova and injuries in Derhachi and Mala Danylivka [2].
Donetsk (HIGH). Russian aircraft dropped FAB-250 and FAB-500 bombs on Sloviansk at about 17:00 on Saturday 24 October, injuring at least 2 and damaging high-rises, two educational institutions and a cafe [14]. Governor Vadym Filashkin reported 1 killed in Yarova and 6 injured elsewhere in the oblast [2].
Sumy (MED). Drones struck a farm in Konotop district on the afternoon of 24 October, killing a 31-year-old worker and injuring four, two of them hospitalised, per the State Emergency Service [15]. A drone hit a car in the Boromlia community, injuring three women [2].
Vinnytsia (MED). A drone hit a five-storey apartment block in Vinnytsia early on 25 October (reported 09:30 Kyiv): 6 injured, 1 hospitalised, four flats destroyed and 15 residents of a private care home evacuated [16]. A strike on an energy site on the evening of 24 October left one district without power [3].
Zhytomyr (MED). Overnight drones hit an energy facility, an outpatient clinic, a house and a business in Korosten and Zhytomyr districts; no casualties (reported 10:30 Kyiv) [4].
Zaporizhzhia (MED). Local authorities counted 832 strikes on 52 settlements and 4 injured over the day [2].
Kherson (MED). Governor Oleksandr Prokudin reported 2 injured and 43 settlements attacked, Kherson city among them [2].
Kyiv City (LOW). Drone debris fell on an open car park in the central Shevchenkivskyi district on the evening of 24 October, injuring one person and damaging cars; no fire [17].
Chernihiv (LOW). A strike on Chernihiv on 24 October left two women treated for acoustic trauma, per Governor Viacheslav Chaus [2].
Rivne (LOW). Overnight strikes on civilian infrastructure caused fires; no casualties in preliminary reports (reported 10:11 Kyiv) [18].
Mykolaiv (LOW). Shahed drones targeted energy infrastructure on 24 October and FPV drones hit the Kutsurub community and Ochakiv, damaging a house; no casualties [19].
Poltava (LOW). Late item, reported 12:17 Kyiv: a drone hit a shopping centre in Poltava, injuring a 52-year-old woman and starting a fire [20].
Front line
Where the line moved in the last 24 hours: little, and nothing DeepState confirmed. The latest DeepState map update found, carried by Censor.net at 08:07 on 23 October, marked a Russian advance near Mali Shcherbaky and Shcherbaky in Zaporizhzhia Oblast [10]. ISW's 24 October assessment says Russian forces recently advanced southeast of Dobropillia, citing a Ukrainian airstrike on a Russian position in central Bilytske in footage from 23 October [8] [21]. ISW's 23 October assessment credits Ukrainian forces with a recent advance west of Kostiantynivka [9], and records Russian infiltration south of Nova Kozacha and southeast of Khrypuny north of Kharkiv [22]. Russia's MoD weekly summary of 23 October repeated claims to Dobropillia, Pervomaiske, Serhiivka and ten other places [23]; its 25 October summary named no new captured settlement (Late item, 12:00 Kyiv) [24]. The General Staff counted 193 clashes on 24 October; its per-axis counts add up to 66, and the report does not explain the gap [5]. Russian losses on the day: 1,850 personnel, about 1,578,450 in total (Ukrainian claim) [25].
Pokrovsk, 16 clashes. ISW assesses a Russian advance southeast of Dobropillia (central Bilytske). Not confirmed by DeepState [8] [21].
Kostiantynivka, 13 clashes. ISW 23 October: Ukrainian forces recently advanced west of Kostiantynivka (assessed) [9].
Huliaipole, 13 clashes. No confirmed change. ISW calls milblogger claims of a push toward Novosoloshyne, 12 km past the furthest Russian positions, part of a Kremlin information campaign [21].
South Slob., 8 clashes. No confirmed change; ISW notes Russian infiltration south of Nova Kozacha [22].
Lyman, 6 clashes. No confirmed change; fighting near Zarichne and toward Stavky, Dibrova and Novoselivka [5].
Kupiansk, 4 clashes. No confirmed change. Trehubov says Russian troops only sometimes get into Holubivka and rarely reach Radkivka [26].
Sloviansk, 4 clashes. No confirmed change; clashes near Kryva Luka [5].
Incident map
Incident map, 2026-10-25. Graphic: Project Leaflet. Map outlines: @svg-maps/ukraine, CC BY 4.0
1. Synelnykove (Drone). High-rise hit on 24 Oct: 3 killed, at least 12 injured. [7]
2. Nikopol district (Drone). 2 women killed, 5 injured incl. a boy, 14. [2]
3. Kharkiv (Jet drone). Novobavarskyi district: 1 killed, 4 injured. [13]
4. Lozova (Strike). Man, 45, killed; 2 injured. [2]
5. Sloviansk (Air bombs). FAB-250/500 at about 17:00 on 24 Oct: at least 2 injured. [14]
6. Vinnytsia (Drone). Five-storey block hit early on 25 Oct: 6 injured. [16]
7. Buryn area (Drone). Farm hit on 24 Oct: worker, 31, killed. [2,15]
8. Korosten (Drone). Energy facility and clinic hit; no casualties. [4]
9. Kyiv (Debris). Debris on a car park: 1 injured. [17]
Ukrainian long-range strikes
Omsk: Telegram channels reported a large fire at the Omsky Kauchuk chemical plant after a drone attack; the governor said drones reached the city's northern industrial hub and air defense was repelling the attack [11].
Berezniki, Perm Krai: Late item, reported 13:48 Kyiv: the Exilenova+ channel says drones hit the Avisma titanium plant; the governor reported 11 drones downed, minor damage to an industrial site and five workers injured [12].
Belgorod: locals say a drone hit a shopping centre; Russian authorities reported 1 civilian killed and 14 injured [27].
Russia's MoD claims 532 drones downed from 20:00 on 24 October to 08:00 Moscow time on 25 October (claim) [6].
Naval picture
Citing Navy spokesman Dmytro Pletenchuk, Antikor reports that Russian missile carriers have not gone into the open Black Sea for five months and launch from base; it counts five surface ships and two submarines able to carry cruise missiles, used one to three times a month [28].
No sea-drone or shadow-fleet strike was reported in the window. Russia's MoD claimed in its 23 October weekly summary that it destroyed five Ukrainian naval drone boats (claim) [23].
Travel, rail, energy, border, FX
Energy: Ukrenergo set hourly outages of one to two queues in part of the oblasts from 07:00 to 23:59 on 25 October, plus limits for industry [32]. Energy sites were hit in Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr oblasts [3] [4].
Rail: No Ukrzaliznytsia disruption notice found by the data cut.
Air travel: Civil airspace stays closed.
Border: No State Border Guard queue alert found by the data cut.
FX: NBU rate for Monday 26 October, published 23 October: UAH 45.2021 per USD and 50.5766 per EUR [29]; RBC-Ukraine calls the dollar rate a record [30].
Watch list
Dobropillia: whether DeepState follows ISW and maps the Russian gain at Bilytske [8].
File photo, November 2025: an official listens during the Energy Ministry's Kharkiv region visit on grid repairs ahead of winter. Photo: Ministry of Energy of Ukraine (mev.gov.ua), CC BY 4.0.
File photo, November 2025: a video wall shows an online coordination meeting held during the Energy Ministry's Kharkiv region visit. Photo: Ministry of Energy of Ukraine (mev.gov.ua), CC BY 4.0.
Russia's MoD weekly summary repeated capture claims to Dobropillia, Serhiivka and Myrivka [23]; none is confirmed by a DeepState map update found so far [10].
The limited ceasefire in occupied Oleshky: ISW reports Ukraine will observe it from 27 October [8].
The hryvnia: the NBU set 45.2021 per dollar for Monday 26 October [29], which RBC-Ukraine calls a record [30].
Weekly scale: Zelensky put this week's attacks at about 1,600 guided bombs, 48 missiles and nearly 2,300 attack drones (Late item, 11:38 Kyiv) [31].
Key media updates
Russian attacks kill 8, injure 51 across Ukraine over past day as drone strikes residential building in Vinnytsia (Kyiv Independent)
Massive Ukrainian drone attack hits shopping center in Russia's Belgorod Oblast, locals say (Kyiv Independent)
Ukraine strikes Russian titanium plant more than 1,400 kilometers from border, monitoring channel claims (Kyiv Independent)
Zelensky: Russia launches 1,600 guided bombs, 48 missiles and nearly 2,300 attack drones in one week (Ukrinform)
Sources
1. Ukrainian Air Force via Ukrinform, Air defense neutralizes 119 of 153 drones Russia launched at Ukraine overnight
2. Kyiv Independent, Russian attacks kill 8, injure 51 across Ukraine over past day
3. Vinnytsia OVA via Ukrinform, Russian attack leaves one district in Vinnytsia region without power
4. Zhytomyr OVA via Ukrinform, Russian overnight attack damages energy facility, enterprise in Zhytomyr region
5. General Staff via Ukrinform, War update: 193 combat clashes on front line over past day
6. RIA Novosti (Russian MoD claim), MoD claim: 532 drones, 20:00 to 08:00 Moscow time
7. Kyiv Independent, Deadly Russian drone strike targets apartment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
8. ISW via Kyiv Post, ISW key takeaways, 24 October 2026
9. ISW via Kyiv Post, ISW key takeaways, 23 October 2026
10. Censor.net (DeepState), DeepState reported on Russian advances in the Zaporizhzhia region
11. Censor.net, A chemical plant is on fire in Omsk following a drone attack
12. Kyiv Independent, Ukraine strikes Russian titanium plant more than 1,400 kilometers from border, monitoring channel claims
13. Kharkiv city via Ukrinform, Russian drone attack on Kharkiv kills one person and injures others
14. Sloviansk city via Ukrinform, Russian airstrikes on Sloviansk injure two people and damage buildings
15. SES Sumy via Ukrinform, Russian drones attack farm in Sumy region, one killed, four injured
16. Vinnytsia OVA via Ukrinform, Russian drone strikes five-storey apartment building in Vinnytsia, six injured
17. Kyiv city via Ukrinform, Drone debris falls on parking lot in central Kyiv, injuring one person
18. SES Rivne via Ukrinform, Russian forces attack civilian infrastructure in Rivne region overnight
19. Mykolaiv OVA via Ukrinform, Russian invaders attack Mykolaiv region with drones over past day
20. Poltava OVA via Ukrinform, Russian drone strikes Epicenter shopping center in Poltava, injuring one person
21. 24 Kanal (ISW summary), Dobropillia, Pokrovsk: where Russians are advancing in Donetsk Oblast
22. Obiektyv (ISW summary), ISW: occupiers spotted south of Nova Kozacha, closer to Kharkiv
23. Rambler/TASS (Russian MoD claim), Russian MoD summary, 23 October
24. Rambler (Russian MoD claim), Russian MoD summary, 25 October
25. General Staff via Ukrinform, Russia's war casualty toll in Ukraine up by 1,850 over past day
27. Kyiv Independent, Massive Ukrainian drone attack hits shopping center in Russia's Belgorod Oblast, locals say
28. Antikor (Ukrainian Navy), Russian missile carriers have not gone into the open Black Sea for five months
29. kurs.com.ua (NBU), NBU exchange rates for 26 October
30. RBC-Ukraine, Dollar at a new high: NBU rate for 26 October
31. Ukrinform, Zelensky: Russia launches 1,600 guided bombs, 48 missiles and nearly 2,300 attack drones in one week
32. LB.ua (Ukrenergo), Outage schedules in effect in Ukraine on 25 October
Method. Figures come from the Ukrainian Air Force and General Staff morning reports, regional military administrations, ISW (read through Kyiv Post, 24 Kanal and Obiektyv reposts, as the ISW pages were not reachable), DeepState map updates as carried by Ukrainian outlets, and named media. Russian MoD figures are claims. Casualty totals are attributed and carry their time. Some regional reports and the national casualty tally were published between 09:30 and 10:30 Kyiv about events inside the window; their publication time is given. An independent fact-check pass checked every figure against its cited URL before publication. Ukraine moved to winter time at 04:00 on 25 October; all times are Kyiv time.
The Naga Report is Project Leaflet's free daily Ukraine situation report. The full five-page PDF edition goes out on t.me/TheLeaflet, and the morning deep read lands here in The Daily Sitrep.
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