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St. Petersburg Drone Attack: The 1,000 Drone Night That Answered Trump's Waiver
Ukraine's biggest drone night of the war reached St. Petersburg, setting the Petersburg Oil Terminal ablaze days after Trump's sanctions waiver. What the St. Petersburg drone attack hit, and what it means for the energy ceasefire.
chris Naganuma
1 day ago6 min read
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Neptune Missile Strike on Borisoglebsk: Six Su-34 Bombers Hit, and Ukraine Ends the Refinery Pause
A Neptune missile strike on Borisoglebsk air base hit six Su-34M glide bomb carriers overnight on October 15, Ukraine's Navy says, with Zelensky counting four destroyed and two hit. The same morning, he declared the block on refinery strikes out: Ukraine is done holding fire.
chris Naganuma
4 days ago6 min read
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Yandex Data Center Attacks: Three Strikes in Four Days Took Russia's Cloud Offline
Drones hit three Yandex data centers in four days: Sasovo, Kaluga and Vladimir. The Yandex data center attacks knocked more than 80 cloud services offline and opened a new front in the long-range war.
chris Naganuma
Oct 116 min read
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Putin's New Strike Doctrine: Winter Orders Against Civilians, and Zelensky's Refinery Answer
Ukrainian intelligence says it has seen documents in which Putin orders broader strikes on civilian targets before winter. Inside Putin's new strike doctrine: a week of 1,900 drones, four days of bridge hits, a nuclear plant losing its lifelines, and Zelensky's promise to answer on Russian refineries.
chris Naganuma
Oct 45 min read
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Putin's Army Expansion: A Fourth Decree, 10,000 North Koreans, and a 27 Percent War Budget
Putin's army expansion hit its fourth decree of the year while Reuters surfaced a 27 percent rise in Russia's 2027 war budget and Zelensky warned that 10,000 more North Korean troops are preparing to deploy. What the three documents say about how long Moscow plans to fight.
chris Naganuma
Sep 295 min read
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The Rest of Russian Airpower: Fighters, Helicopters, Transports, and the One Fleet That Is Growing
Part two of our Russian airpower assessment moves past the bombers: the tactical fighters that fly every day, a helicopter force that is actually bigger than it was in 2022, an airlift fleet 24 new planes into a 108-plane promise, and a navy flying its carrier jets from dry land.
chris Naganuma
Sep 178 min read
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Russian Air Force Losses 2026: What's Left, Base by Base, and the Bombers Russia Cannot Replace
An OSINT assessment of the Russian Air Force in late 2026: the losses we can prove airframe by airframe, the bases the bombers still fly from, what provably remains, and the arithmetic of a factory system that delivered 14 fighters in eight months while the war ate ten.
chris Naganuma
Sep 1711 min read
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Jilin Chemical Fiber: The Chinese State Firm in Russia's Shahed Supply Chain, and the Night the Truce Ended
Two containers from Jilin Chemical Fiber, 46 tonnes of carbon fiber precursor, enough for a reported 1,300 Shahed-type drones. The documents landed the same weekend the Kyiv truce died at 3:30 in the morning. Here is the supply chain behind the barrage.
chris Naganuma
Sep 85 min read
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Russian General Shot Near Engels: Three Days After Kyiv Charged Him Over Okhmatdyt
A gunman on a motorcycle put two bullets into the commander of Russia's Engels bomber division on September 3. The Russian general shot near Engels is the man Ukraine charged over the Okhmatdyt children's hospital strike three days earlier.
chris Naganuma
Sep 45 min read
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Is the Zircon Really Hypersonic? What Ukraine's Teardown of the 3M22 Shows
HUR just published the most detailed public teardown of Russia's 3M22 Zircon: slower than claimed, solid-fuel instead of a scramjet, a 120 kg warhead, and a supply chain of 70 companies with American chips inside. Here is what the file changes.
chris Naganuma
Sep 25 min read
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Stretching the Iskander: Russia's New 550 Kilometer Missile, and the Night the Intercepts Came Back
HUR tears down Russia's new 9M723-2, a 550 kilometer Iskander already fired at Kyiv, while Ukraine's air defense puts seven ballistic missiles into the dirt in one night.
chris Naganuma
Aug 315 min read
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Pyongyang's Ballistic Bench: The KN-30 Is in Russia, and It Has an Address
HUR confirms North Korea's KN-30 has reached Russia for the first time, with roughly 50 KN-23-series missiles in-country by July and six DPRK launchers plus 90 personnel based at Voronezh under the 112th Guards Missile Brigade. The catch-up sitrep for August 21: this is no longer an arms sale, it is a joint program with a live test range.
chris Naganuma
Aug 254 min read
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The Autumn Shaping Ledger: Drones, Men, and a Threat at Sea
Russia's August drone plan hits 11,000 airframes, the Kremlin orders 409,000 contract troops while eyeing mobilization after the September vote, and Putin threatens to seize ships in kind. The morning deep brief for August 13.
chris Naganuma
Aug 135 min read
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Fired, Not Just Shipped: North Korea's KN-23s Are Back Over Ukraine
Zelensky says North Korean ballistic missiles hit Zaporizhzhia alongside Zircons on August 11, seven reported killed at Metinvest's works. Six days after HUR flagged 40 KN-23s delivered with crews to Voronezh, the deployment we covered is firing. Here is the ledger, the launch geography, and why the interceptor math just got worse.
chris Naganuma
Aug 124 min read
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Forged Papers, Real Missiles: Vienna Pulls a Thread in Rostec's Tooling Pipeline
Austria's DSN dismantled a Vienna-run network that fed European machine tools into Rostec's missile and jet engine plants through eight countries on forged end-user certificates. The same day, HUR tabled 5,816 foreign components pulled from 202 Russian weapons. The factories running at 120 percent run on imported machines.
chris Naganuma
Aug 124 min read
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Russian Missile Production in 2026: Factories at 120 Percent of Plan, and No Pause Coming
Ukraine's Defence Intelligence says Russian missile plants are overfulfilling monthly plans by 110 to 120 percent, with July setting a 2026 record of 351 missiles launched. Here is the production ledger, and why no pause is coming.
chris Naganuma
Aug 114 min read
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120 Missiles, Six Launchers, 90 Operators: North Korea's Missile Troops Are Now Inside Russia
Pyongyang isn't just shipping missiles to Russia anymore, it's sending the crews. What HUR's August 5 report actually means, and what to watch in September.
chris Naganuma
Aug 54 min read
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